Traffic Safety Evaluation Method for Highway Section Based on Fault Tree

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1674-0696.2013.01.20

Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science) ›› 2013, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (1): 87-90.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-0696.2013.01.20

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Traffic Safety Evaluation Method for Highway Section Based on Fault Tree

Niu Shifeng¹,Zheng Yongxiong²,Feng Shadan²,Shi Hui³

1.Key Laboratory Automotive Transportation Safety Technology Ministry of Communication,Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064,Shaanxi,China; 2.Sichuan Dashan Highway Limited Liability Company,Chengdu 610000,Sichuan,China; 3.CCCC First Harbor Consultants Co.,Ltd.,Tianjin 300222,China

Received:2012-03-15 Revised:2012-10-24 Online:2013-02-15 Published:2015-03-12

基于事故树的公路路段交通安全评价方法

牛世峰¹，郑永雄²，冯萨丹²，石辉³

1.长安大学汽车运输与安全保障交通部重点实验室，陕西西安710064;2.四川达陕高速公路有限责任公司，四川成都610000;3.中交第一航务工程勘察设计院有限公司，天津300222

作者简介:牛世峰(1982—)，男，山西忻州人，讲师，博士，主要从事交通安全、智能交通方面的研究。E-mail:nsf530@chd.edu.cn。
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目( 51108040) ; 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目( CHD2011JC176,CHD2011JC105)

Abstract

Abstract: In order to estimate the main reasons resulting in traffic safety decreasing of highway section，and give proper evaluation index weights，a traffic safety evaluation method for highway section was designed based on fault tree theory． The established method of fault tree，evaluation index and index weight determining method and comprehensive evaluation model were explained using the horizontal curve section as example． The proposed method was validated by true data of highway section． The result shows the proposed method not only can evaluate the overall safety of highway section，but also to determine main reasons resulting in traffic safety decreasing of highway section．

Key words: traffic safety, fault tree, traffic safety evaluation, highway section

摘要： 针对现有公路路段交通安全评价方法无法评价而导致安全程度下降的主要原因或因评价指标权重很难确定的缺点,利用事故树分析方法建立了公路路段交通安全评价指标确定方法,提出事故树的修正结构重要度的概念, 并以其为基础建立了评价指标权重确定方法和综合评价模型方法。以平曲线路段为例对其进行了说明,最后选取实际公路路段数据对所设计方法进行了验证,结果表明方法不仅可以评价出路段的整体安全程度,而且能够确定出导致路段安全程度下降的主要原因。

关键词: 交通安全, 事故树, 交通安全评价, 公路路段

CLC Number:

U491

Niu Shifeng,Zheng Yongxiong,Feng Shadan,Shi Hui. Traffic Safety Evaluation Method for Highway Section Based on Fault Tree[J]. Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science), 2013, 32(1): 87-90.

牛世峰，郑永雄，冯萨丹，石辉. 基于事故树的公路路段交通安全评价方法[J]. 重庆交通大学学报（自然科学版）, 2013, 32(1): 87-90.

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Traffic Safety Evaluation Method for Highway Section Based on Fault Tree

基于事故树的公路路段交通安全评价方法

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