关键词: 交通运输工程, 竞合博弈, 演化博弈, 复制动态, 演化稳定策略, 仿真

Abstract: Taking evolutionary game theory and cooperation-competition game theory as the main theoretical instrument, the choice of competition or cooperation of port was studied based on bounded rationality and hypothesis of incomplete information. The bi-level modelofport competition or cooperation model was constructed, and the income distribution of the cooperative alliance was distributed by the shapely value;the parameters such as “income distribution coefficient”, “cooperative cost”, “incremental incremental income” and “default compensation”were introduced into the evolutionary game model which was established to analyze the stability of the equilibrium point of the evolution of the port, and the simulation analysis of the evolution path of the port competition was carried out by MATLAB R2010b. The results show that the evolutionary equilibrium and the evolution path are affected by the initial state selection, the “incremental income of cooperation”, “income distribution coefficient”, “cooperation cost”, “default income” and “default compensation”. Finally, the countermeasures for the stability of port cooperation was put forward so that the cooperation will become the only evolutionary and stable balance to ensure the coordinated development of the port.

Key words: traffic and transportation engineering, cooperation or competition game, evolutionary game, replicator dynamics, evolutionary stability strategy, simulation