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Agricultural Product Freight Volume Prediction of Longtoushan Ship Lock Based on SSA-CNN-Attention-LSTM Model
PENG Jun1,2,3,4, HU Lelin2,3,4, ZHOU Qiangqiang3,5, ZOU Huiyi1
2026, 45(6):
97-106.
DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-0696.2026.06.12
Agricultural product transportation has significant timeliness characteristics. The ship lock scheduling department needs to grasp the future scale of agricultural product freight in advance in order to formulate a reasonable gate clearance dispatch plan. Therefore, accurate prediction of agricultural product freight volume is of great significance for improving gate clearance efficiency. The agricultural freight volume in the Ganjiang River exhibits characteristics such as intense fluctuations and complex patterns, and current prediction methods are difficult to capture its deep nonlinearity and complex temporal patterns. To address this issue, a hybrid model integrating attention mechanism, sparrow search algorithm (SSA), convolutional neural network (CNN), and long short-term memory network (LSTM), namely SSA-CNN-Attention-LSTM, was proposed. First, CNN was employed to capture local spatial features from the data, while LSTM was combined to extract temporal dependency relationships. An attention mechanism was further introduced to assign weights to the hidden states of LSTM, thereby enhancing the proposed model’s ability to capture key information in complex fluctuation scenarios. In addition, SSA was adopted to adaptively optimize the hyperparameters of the proposed model, improving its adaptability and convergence efficiency in complex forecasting scenarios. In the performance evaluation, multiple representative methods based on CNN, RNN, MLP, and Transformer architectures were compared. The results show that the proposed model outperforms other models in three indicators, that is EMA, EMAP and ERMS, which are 471.26, 0.114, 30, and 628.81, respectively. The prediction results indicate that the proposed hybrid model can effectively improve the prediction accuracy of waterway agricultural product freight volume, which is beneficial for the ship lock to make advance scheduling plans and provide reliable data support for port and navigation management and development decisions in the Ganjiang River Basin.
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