关键词: 交通工程, 城市交通, 出行方式选择, 前景理论, 组团间出行, 前景值

Abstract: The travel between groups was divided into three stages: within the starting group, between the groups and within the destination group. The decision-making indicators were established based on the analysis of the related issues of residents’ travel between the groups. Then, according to the psychological characteristic that there was dynamic expectation in the travel mode selection of residents in groups, a travel mode decision analysis method based on cumulative prospect theory was proposed. In the proposed method, firstly, the weight was determined by analytic hierarchy process (AHP). Then, based on the establishment of reference point and decision matrix, the attribute values of different variables were normalized, and then the benefit loss decision matrix and prospect decision matrix of each mode relative to the reference point were established, and the comprehensive prospect value of each travel mode was calculated and sorted. Among them, the mode with the largest comprehensive prospect value was the most satisfactory one for the traveler. Finally, a case study was carried out.

Key words: traffic engineering, urban transportation, travel mode selection, prospect theory, travel between groups, foreground value