中文核心期刊
CSCD来源期刊
中国科技核心期刊
RCCSE中国核心学术期刊

重庆交通大学学报(自然科学版) ›› 2012, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (4): 895-899.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-0696.2012.04.38

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基于Markov 过程的物流服务供应链可靠性分析

李阳珍12,张喜征3   

  1. 1. 西南交通大学交通运输与物流学院,四川成都610031; 2. 西南民族大学管理学院,四川成都610041; 3. 湖南大学工商管理学院,湖南长沙410082
  • 收稿日期:2011-11-15 修回日期:2011-12-20 出版日期:2012-08-15 发布日期:2015-03-12
  • 作者简介:李阳珍( 1978—) ,女,四川自贡人,讲师,博士研究生,主要从事物流服务及服务可靠性方面的研究。E-mail:zhenly629@163.com.
  • 基金资助:
    教育部人文社科研究青年项目( 12YJC630107)

Analysis on Reliability of Logistic Service Supply Chain Based on Markov Process

Li Yang-zhen12,Zhang Xi-zheng3   

  1. 1.School of Transportation & Logistics,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu 610031,Sichuan,China; 2.School of Management,Southwest University of Nationalities,Chengdu 610041,Sichuan,China; 3.Business School,Hunan University,Changsha 410082,Hunan,China
  • Received:2011-11-15 Revised:2011-12-20 Online:2012-08-15 Published:2015-03-12

摘要: 分析了物流供应能力与物流需求的关系,建立了物流服务供应链的二级结构图;提出了一种基于Markov过程 的系统可靠性分析模型,对Markov状态转移方程进行求解,从而得到系统处于各状态的稳态概率。研究表明:物流 服务供应链的可靠性受其结构的影响,串并联结构可靠性优于串联结构可靠性;各节点企业故障率与修复率也会影 响物流服务的可靠性。

关键词: 物流服务供应链, 物流能力, 可靠性, 马尔可夫过程

Abstract: The relationship between logistic capacity and demand is analyzed; structure of two-echelon logistics service supply chain is established. Reliability model based on Markov process is proposed; stable probability of each state is obtained by solving state transition equation. The conclusion is drawn that the structure of LSSC can influence service reliability; the reliability of series-parallel connection is prior to series connection; changes of failure rates or maintenance rates of nodecompany will affect the reliability of the system.

Key words: logistics service supply chain, logistic capacity, reliability, Markov process

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