中文核心期刊
CSCD来源期刊
中国科技核心期刊
RCCSE中国核心学术期刊
Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science)

Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science) ›› 2007, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (6): 80-81.

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Study on Settlement Prediction of Highway Based on Gray-System

LIU Li-feng1,JIANG De-yi1,WANG Qing-zhen2,TIAN Jing3,LI lin1   

  1. 1.Key Laboratory for the Exploitation of Southwestern Resources&the Envimnmental Disaster Control Engineering，Ministry of Educadon，Chongqing University，Chongqing 4OOO44，China；2.Chongqing Highway Department，Chongqing 401147， China；3.Tianjing Highway Department，Tianjing 300170，China
  • Received:2006-12-11 Revised:2007-01-23 Online:2007-12-15 Published:2015-01-22

基于灰色理论的公路沉降预测研究

柳立峰1，姜德义1，王庆珍2，田静3，李林1   

  1. 1.重庆大学西南资源开发及环境灾害控制工程教育部重点实验室，重庆 40OO44； 2.重庆市公路局，重庆 401147；3.天津市公路局，天津 300170
  • 作者简介:柳立峰(1982一)，男，黑龙江省肇东市人，硕士研究生，研究方向：安全技术工程.E-mail:lioulfeng@163.com。

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Abstract: A forecast model of settlement prediction of highway is established based on the sequence forecast theory of gray system，and the precision of the forecast model is analyzed by using factual data in pmject.By comparing the forecast data and original data，the rationality of the forecast result is shown．At last the characteristics and$ome problems in application of the forecast mod el are discussed.

Key words: gray system, sequence forecast, settlement prediction

摘要： 以工程实测数据为基础，根据灰色理论中的数列预测理论，针对公路建设中路基沉降监测，建立灰色预测模 型．根据预测结果与沉降实际测量数据的对比，分析了模型预测结果的合理性．同时讨论了所用灰色预测模型的特 点及其在沉降监测中的应用．

关键词: 灰色系统, 数列预测, 沉降预测

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