Abstract: First, the quality characteristics of asphalt pavement and the limitation of mathematical statistics method of quality control are analyzed in the paper. A control method of asphalt pavement quality based on grey system theory is put forward, and the GM(1,1) model built.Through introduction of the conception of metabolism predicting model, the GM(1,1) model is updated properly

Key words: asphalt pavement, grey system theory, quality control, predicting model, metabolism

摘要： 分析沥青路面工程项目的质量特点和现行质量控制中数理统计方法的局限性后,提出了一种基于灰色系统 理论的沥青路面质量控制方法,建立了GM(1,1)模型,并对模型精度进行检验,针对沥青路面施工过程中的实际情 况,引入新陈代谢预测模型的概念,对GM(1,1)模型作了适当的修正,使得模型具有更强的适应性和更好的预测效 果.

关键词: 沥青路面, 灰色理论, 质量控制, 预测模型, 新陈代谢