Safety Analysis of Different Vehicle Types in Urban-Rural Binding Regions
Based on Logit Model

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1674-0696.2020.01.05

Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science) ›› 2020, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (01): 28-33.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-0696.2020.01.05

• Traffic & Transportation Engineering • Previous Articles Next Articles

Safety Analysis of Different Vehicle Types in Urban-Rural Binding Regions Based on Logit Model

NIU Shifeng1, LI Guiqiang2, LIU Enquan3

(1. Key Laboratory of Automotive Transportation Safety Assurance Technology and Transportation Industry, Changan University, Xian 710064, Shaanxi, China; 2. School of Automobile, Changan University, Xian 710064, Shaanxi, China; 3. Traffic Management Bureau, Chongqing Municipal Public Security Bureau, Chongqing 400041, China)

Received:2017-07-03 Revised:2018-09-03 Online:2020-01-12 Published:2020-01-12

基于Logit模型的城乡结合部不同车型安全性分析

牛世峰1，李贵强2，刘恩全3

(1. 长安大学汽车运输安全保障技术交通行业重点实验室，陕西西安 710064； 2. 长安大学汽车学院，陕西西安 710064； 3. 重庆市公安局交通管理局，重庆 400041)

作者简介:牛世峰(1982—)，男，山西忻州人，副教授，博士，主要从事交通安全和智能交通方面的研究。E-mail：nsf530@163.com。通信作者：李贵强(1994—)，男，山东聊城人，硕士研究生，主要从事交通安全方面的研究。E-mail：1119084992@qq.com。
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目(51305041)；中央高校基本科研业务费资助项目(300102228202)；陕西省自然科学基金项目(2016JQ6043)

Abstract

Abstract: Compared with urban areas, urban-rural binding regions have the characteristics of frequent accidents and high severity. Although the effort has been made in many ways, the effect is limited. The urban-rural binding region has become a key bottleneck area that affects Chinas traffic safety. The accident data of the urban-rural binding regions of a city in the past three years were collected, and the vehicle CWI(crash worthiness index) and CAI(crash aggressivity index) were introduced as the vehicle type safety indexes.Based on the polytomous ordered Logit model, the safety analysis method of different vehicle types in the urban-rural binding area was designed, and the safety of each vehicle type was determined.The influence of various factors on vehicle safety was analyzed in depth, and the relevant improvement suggestions were put forward.

Key words: traffic engineering, Logit model, urban-rural binding regions, vehicle type safety

摘要： 与城市地区相比，城乡结合地区交通具有事故频发、严重程度高等特点，虽经多方努力但效果有限，已成为影响我国交通安全的重点瓶颈地区。采集某城市城乡结合地区近3年来的事故数据，引入车辆保护性和攻击性指标作为车型安全性指标，基于多分类有序Logit模型设计了城乡结合地区不同车型安全性分析方法，确定了各车型安全性，深入分析了各因素对车型安全性影响，并提出相关改善建议。

关键词: 交通工程, Logit模型, 城乡结合地区, 车型安全性

CLC Number:

U492.8

NIU Shifeng1, LI Guiqiang2, LIU Enquan3. Safety Analysis of Different Vehicle Types in Urban-Rural Binding Regions Based on Logit Model[J]. Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science), 2020, 39(01): 28-33.

牛世峰1，李贵强2，刘恩全3. 基于Logit模型的城乡结合部不同车型安全性分析[J]. 重庆交通大学学报（自然科学版）, 2020, 39(01): 28-33.

References

［1］ OSSIANDER E M, KOEPSELL T D, MCKNIGHT B. Crash fatality and vehicle incompatibility in collisions between cars and light trucks or vans［J］. Injury
Prevention:Journal of the International Society for Child & Adolescent Injury Prevention, 2014, 20(6):373-379.
［2］张云，沈光勇，王崇.汽车碰撞相容性的探讨［C］∥中国汽车工程学会. 2012中国汽车工程学会第十五届汽车安全技术学术会议论文集.芜湖：安徽师范大学出版社，2012：151-
154.
ZHANG Yun, SHENG Guangyong, WANG Chong. Study of automobile crash compatibility test［C］∥SAE-China. Proceedings of the 15th Conferences of Automotive Safety
Technology. Wuhu:Anhui Normal University Press, 2012:151-154.
［3］刘西，胡远志，蒋成约.微型客车与货车追尾碰撞仿真研究［C］∥中国汽车工程学会.2013中国汽车工程学会第十六届汽车安全技术学术会议论文集.出版地不详：出版者不详，
2013：359-365.
LIU Xi, HU Yuanzhi, JIANG Chengyue. Simulation study of microbus-to-truck rear impact［C］∥SAE-China. Proceedings of the 16th Conferences of Automotive Safety
Technology. ［S.l.］:［s.n.］, 2013:359-365.
［4］ HUANG Helai, SIDDIQUI C, ABDEL-ATY M. Indexing crash worthi-ness and crash aggressivity by vehicle type［J］. Accident Analysis Prevention, 2011, 43(4):1364
-1370.
［5］刘唐志，唐伯明，凌建明，等.城乡结合部公路交通事故规律分析及治理对策［J］.重庆交通大学学报(自然科学版)，2008，27(5)：767-771.
LIU Tangzhi, TANG Boming, LING Jianming, et al. Analysis on traffic accidents law and its countermeasures of rurbania roads［J］. Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong
University(Natural Science), 2008, 27(5):767-771.
［6］张惠玲，王益，杨金燕.基于TPB理论的城乡结合部路段驾驶员驾驶行为影响［J］.重庆交通大学学报(自然科学版)，2018，37(12)：105-110.
ZHANG Huiling, WANG Yi, YANG Jinyan. Influence factors analysis on drivers driving behavior on road section at urban-rural fringe based on TPB theory［J］.
Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science), 2018, 37(12):105-110.
［7］詹微微.城乡结合部平面交叉口安全改善研究［D］.重庆：重庆交通大学，2015.
ZHAN Weiwei. Research on Safety Improvement of Rural-urban Fringe Area Intersections［D］. Chongqing:Chongqing Jiaotong University, 2015.
［8］王霞，吕德宏.基于多分类有序Logit模型的农户信用等级影响因素［J］.中国农业大学学报，2013，18(3)：209-214.
WANG Xia, LV Dehong. Influencing factors of the credit rating based on the polytomous Logit model［J］. Journal of China Agricultural University, 2013, 18(3):209-
214.
［9］ LINDER A, HOLMQVIST K, SVENSSON M Y. Average male and female virtual dummy model(BioRID and EvaRID) simulations with two seat concepts in the Euro NCAP low
severity rear impact test configuration［J］. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 2017, 114:62-70.
［10］ SHI Yibing, NUSHOLTZ G S. Fleet fatality risk and its sensitivity to vehicle mass change in frontal vehicle-to-vehicle crashes, using a combined empirical
and theoretical model［J］. Stapp Car Crash Journal, 2015, 59:297-312.
［11］ TAY Y Y, PAPA A, KONERU L S, et al. A finite element approach in estimating driver fatality ratio of a fleet of LTVs striking a passenger car based on
vehicles intrusion, acceleration and stiffness ratios in side-impact accidents［J］. Journal of Mechanical Science & Technology, 2015, 29(3):1231-1242.
［12］ HUANG Helai, CHIN H C. Disaggregate propensity study on red light running crashes using quasi-induced exposure method［J］. Journal of Transportation
Engineering, 2009, 135(3):104-111.
［13］ BROYLES R W, NARINE L, CLARKE S R, et al. Factors associated with the likelihood of injury resulting from collisions between four-wheel drive vehicles and
passenger cars［J］. Accident Analysis and Prevention, 2003, 35(5):677-681.
［14］ FREDETTE M, MAMBU L S, CHOUINARD A, et al. Safety impacts due to the incompatibility of SUVs, minivans, and pickup trucks in two-vehicle collisions［J］.
Accident Analysis and Prevention, 2008, 40(6):1987-1995.

[1]	TANG Jiqiang1,2, ZHONG Xinwei2, LIU Jian1, LI Tianrui3. Short Term Forecast of Rail Transit Passenger Flow Based on Time Series Seasonal Classification Model [J]. Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science), 2021, 40(07): 31-38.
[2]	CHENG Qian1, ZHU Xiaoning2, LU Wansheng3. Travel Mode Choice Behavior Model of Intercity Passengers with Medium and Long Haul — A Case Study of High-Speed Railway and Air Transport [J]. Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science), 2021, 40(07): 39-45.
[3]	QI Chunhua, WANG Xiaonan, ZHU Shoulin, LI Hangtian. Traffic Engineering Facility Information Threshold Based on Drivers Visual Area of Interest [J]. Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science), 2021, 40(07): 53-60.
[4]	DENG Tianmin1, ZHU Jie2, ZHU Kaijia1, QU Zhihua3. Driving Style Recognition Method Based on iForest and Bisecting K-means Combined Algorithm [J]. Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science), 2021, 40(06): 1-6.
[5]	XU Maozeng, ZHANG Li. Identification of Road Section Congestion Influence Based on Bijective Soft Decision Theory [J]. Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science), 2021, 40(06): 7-11.
[6]	WANG Tao1, XIE Sihong1, LI Wenhao1,2, LI Wenyong1. Short-Term Traffic Flow Adaptive Prediction Model Based on FFOS-ELM and PF [J]. Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science), 2021, 40(06): 21-27.
[7]	ZHANG Cheng1, WANG Chengyin1, CHEN Zhiwei2, ZHANG Zhengxiang3, ZHANG Zilei3. Mining Method of Key Nodes of Urban Road Network Based on Spatial-Flow Degree [J]. Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science), 2021, 40(06): 28-35.
[8]	WANG Yonggang, ZHANG Heng, PENG Zhipeng, ZHOU Wanqi. Analysis of Influencing Factors of Taxi Accidents Based on Structural Equation Model [J]. Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science), 2021, 40(06): 36-42.
[9]	ZHU Shunyin, LI Weiji, LIN Xiaoyuan, XIAO Wenbin, WANG Hong. Setting No Re-inspection Control Point for Tourist Vehicles in Characteristic Towns [J]. Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science), 2021, 40(06): 52-58.
[10]	PAN Binghong1,2, HU Wei1, REN Hui1, SHAN Huimin1. Truck Side-Slip Velocity Model in Curve Road Section Based on TruckSim Simulation [J]. Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science), 2021, 40(05): 38-45.
[11]	WU Wenjing, SUN Renchao, ZONG Fang, JIA Hongfei. Subjective Attitude Identification and Impact Analysis of Residents Low-Carbon Commuting Travel [J]. Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science), 2021, 40(05): 53-58.
[12]	LI Jun, DENG Yuxin. Cluster Analysis of Taxi Spatiotemporal Behavior Based on Non-negative Matrix Factorization [J]. Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science), 2021, 40(05): 59-65.
[13]	CHENG Wei1, LIU Xiang1, LEI Jianming2. Optimization of Cycle Length of Intersection Signal Based on RBF Neural Network Prediction [J]. Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science), 2021, 40(04): 13-18.
[14]	SHI Tianliang, WANG Wenguang. Information View and Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm in Urban Traffic Congestion [J]. Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science), 2021, 40(04): 19-25.
[15]	HE Yulong1, 2, LIU Lei1,2, CHI Jiaxin1,2. Risk of Vehicle Lane Change Behavior on Highway [J]. Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science), 2021, 40(04): 26-33.

Safety Analysis of Different Vehicle Types in Urban-Rural Binding Regions Based on Logit Model

基于Logit模型的城乡结合部不同车型安全性分析

PDF

Knowledge

Abstract

Cite this article

share this article

References

Related Articles 15

Recommended Articles

Metrics