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Lane-Changing Decision Model Based on Prospect Theory
GU Jingang1, PU Kechen2, YANG Da1,2, LYU Meng2, ZHU Zibo1
2022, 41(06):
30-36.
DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-0696.2022.06.05
Lane-changing behavior is one of the basic driving behaviors and a basic algorithm of traffic simulation. It is of great significance to study lane-changing behavior. At present, there is a strong assumption in many lane-changing models established by scholars, that is, all drivers are completely rational, which cant reflect the drivers bounded rationality in evaluating the effectiveness of lanes and makes the model inconsistent with the actual situation. In view of this, the prospect theory was introduced to establish a new lane-changing decision-making model, which could reflect the potential irrational behavior of drivers in the process of lane -changing decision-making. The established model could reflect more realistic driving behavior. According to current research, the two indicators such as front vehicle speed and headway distance were selected to evaluate the drivers satisfaction with the lane. Considering the drivers risk preference and the trade-off of objective probability, the foreground values of different lanes were calculated, and the Logit model was established. Finally, the probability of the driver making a lane-changing decision was obtained. The study found that the proposed model has better accuracy and stronger applicability than the model based on random utility theory does, and the drivers received information and cognition of the behild vehicle on the target lane are relatively limited during the lane-changing decision process.
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