交通事故死亡人数与太阳活动的统计关系分析

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1674-0696.2015.01.20

重庆交通大学学报（自然科学版） ›› 2015, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (1): 91-94.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-0696.2015.01.20

交通事故死亡人数与太阳活动的统计关系分析

冯雯¹，李可军^2,3

1. 昆明理工大学分析测试中心，云南昆明 650093；2. 中国科学院云南天文台,云南昆明 650011； 3.中国科学院太阳活动重点实验室（国家天文台）,北京 100012

收稿日期:2013-10-09 修回日期:2014-02-12 出版日期:2015-02-15 发布日期:2015-03-10
作者简介:冯雯(1969—)，女,云南昆明人,工程师,主要从事日地关系物理方面的研究。E-mail: fengwen69@sina.cn。
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目(11273057，11221063);国家重点基础研究发展计划资助项目(2012CB957801，2011CB811406)

Statistical Relationship Between Death Population of Road Traffic Accidents and Sunspot Activity

Feng Wen¹, Li Kejun^2,3

1. Research Center of Analysis & Measurement, Kunming University of Science & Technology, Kunming 650093,Yunnan, China; 2. Yunnan Observatories, CAS, Kunming 650011, Yunnan, China; 3. Key Laboratory of Solar Activity, National Astronomical Observatories, CAS, Beijing 100012, China

Received:2013-10-09 Revised:2014-02-12 Online:2015-02-15 Published:2015-03-10

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 分析1951—2009年间的中国交通事故死亡人数和太阳黑子数的有关资料, 用交叉小波、整体平均经验模式分解、相关分析等数学方法来探讨太阳长期活动统计上对交通事故死亡人数的影响。结果表明:中国交通事故死亡人数与太阳活动的11年周期活动存在具有统计意义的正相关关系，严重交通事故的发生的确受太阳活动的影响。

关键词: 交通工程, 交通事故, 交通安全, 太阳活动, 相关分析

Abstract: The relationship between death population of road traffic accidents and solar activity was investigated through ensemble empirical mode decomposition analysis, cross-correlation analysis, cross-wavelet analysis, and etc., which was based on the information of yearly mean sunspot number and annual death population (DP) of road traffic accident events in China from 1951 to 2009. The results obtained show that DP is statistically positively correlated with the 11-year-cycle solar activity. DP is not only closely related with human activities, but also affected by solar activity indeed.

Key words: traffic engineering, traffic accident, traffic safety, solar activity, correlation analysis

中图分类号:

U492.8

冯雯，李可军. 交通事故死亡人数与太阳活动的统计关系分析[J]. 重庆交通大学学报（自然科学版）, 2015, 34(1): 91-94.

Feng Wen, Li Kejun. Statistical Relationship Between Death Population of Road Traffic Accidents and Sunspot Activity[J]. Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science), 2015, 34(1): 91-94.

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交通事故死亡人数与太阳活动的统计关系分析

Statistical Relationship Between Death Population of Road Traffic Accidents and Sunspot Activity

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