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Driver Injury Severity in Truck Rollover Accidents
Based on Mixed Ordered Probit Model
LI Junhui1, TANG Zuogan2
2021, 40(02):
21-27.
DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-0696.2021.02.04
In order to further study the influencing factors of driver injury severity in truck rollover accidents, the ordered Probit and mixed ordered Probit models were developed by considering the orderly features of driver injury severity and the heterogeneous effects of safety factors on driver injury severity. Based on 3 476 truck rollover accidents in Texas in 2016, 24 safety factors were selected as independent variables from the four factors of human, vehicle, road and environment, and driver injury severity was selected as dependent variable. The results show that male, drivers age, wearing safety belt, airbag deployment, alcohol or drug use, being thrown out of the car, driving not according to the specified lane, heavy truck, vehicle in right-turning, adverse weather conditions, road speed limit, and vehicles ex-factory age are significantly correlated with driver injury severity. In addition, the goodness of fit of the mixed ordered Probit model is higher than that of the ordered Probit model, and the mixed ordered Probit model founds that the influence of variables such as male, alcohol or drug abuse, being thrown out of the car and vehicle in right-turning on the driver injury severity has a heterogeneous effect.
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