The ARIMA model used in forecasting of traffic volume in short interval on the link

Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science) ›› 2003, Vol. 22 ›› Issue (1): 76-77.

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The ARIMA model used in forecasting of traffic volume in short interval on the link

ZHU Shun-ying¹，WANG Hong¹，LI Guan-shou²

1.Chongqing Jiaotong University, Chongqing 400074, China; 2.Highway Construction and Management Department of Chongqing Traffic Committee, Chongqing 401147, China

Received:2002-03-20 Revised:2015-05-18 Online:2003-03-15 Published:2015-05-18

路段上短时间区段内交通量预测ARIMA模型

朱顺应¹，王红¹，李关寿²

1.重庆交通学院，重庆 400074; 2.重庆市交通委员会公路建管处，重庆 401147

作者简介:朱顺应(1967—), 男, 安徽怀宁人, 博士, 副教授, 从事交通规划管理和交通流理论研究.

Abstract

Abstract: The basic model and methods for its parameters estimating, forecasitng of The ARIMA model which is used in forecasting of traffic volume in short interval on the link are discussed in detai, and then this paper analyses its applications in forecasting volume of tunnel on freeway.

Key words: traffic volume, short interval, forecast, ARIMA model

摘要： 探讨了用于路段上小时间间隔里交通量预测ARIMA模型的一般形式及其参数标定、检验、预测的方法,进一步探讨了它的应用.

关键词: 交通量, 短时间间隔, 预测, ARIMA模型

CLC Number:

U491.1+4

ZHU Shun-ying，WANG Hong，LI Guan-shou. The ARIMA model used in forecasting of traffic volume in short interval on the link[J]. Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science), 2003, 22(1): 76-77.

朱顺应，王红，李关寿. 路段上短时间区段内交通量预测ARIMA模型[J]. 重庆交通大学学报（自然科学版）, 2003, 22(1): 76-77.

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The ARIMA model used in forecasting of traffic volume in short interval on the link

路段上短时间区段内交通量预测ARIMA模型

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