Abstract: Being short of enough data, traditional traffic distribution forecasting method is unsuitable to new-rising towns or rapid-developing cities. A time or distance method of traffic distribution forecasting under incomplete information is brought forward in this paper, including parameters resolving method. And its reliability is demonstrated. Finally, the sensitivity of this model to time or distance is discussed

Key words: incomplete information, traffic distribution, average trip time or distance, sensitivity analyses

摘要： 对于新兴城镇和快速扩张城市的交通分布预测，由于信息缺乏很难采用传统的预测方法．本文提出了非完全 信息下的交通分布预测时间(距离)法，并给出了其参数标定方法，对其可靠性也进行了实证性分析，最后，探讨了 该模型对时间(或距离)的敏感性问题．

关键词: 非完全信息, 交通分布, 平均出行时间(距离), 敏感性分析