Analysis of Influencing Factors and Location Prediction of Dry Port Based on Logit Model

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1674-0696.2012.05.30

Abstract

Abstract: logit model was applied to solve the location problem of dry port． Firstly，key factors affecting location choice were identified; then the probability according to logit model was computed． The weights of influencing factors can offer inland cities foundations to fortify its strengths while improving weakness，hence，to increase the probability of realizing dry port construction．

Key words: logit, dry port, location selection, influencing factors, prediction

摘要： 采用二项logit 模型求解无水港的选址问题。首先，识别影响无水港选址的关键性因素; 其次，利用logit 概率可得到某一城市被选做为无水港的可能性大小。同时，候选城市可根据二项logit 权重为自己评估，扬长辟短，使得自身优于临近城市被选做为无水港的概率增大。

关键词: logit, 无水港, 选址, 影响因素, 预测

CLC Number:

U169.62

Li Fang，Shi Xiaoning，Hu Hao. Analysis of Influencing Factors and Location Prediction of Dry Port Based on Logit Model[J]. Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science), 2012, 31(5): 1046-1049.

李芳，史小宁，胡昊. 基于二项logit 的无水港选址影响因素分析及预测[J]. 重庆交通大学学报（自然科学版）, 2012, 31(5): 1046-1049.

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