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Dynamic Change and Evolutionary Trend in the Supply and Demand Relationship of Water Supply Services in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area
GUAN Dongjie1, SUN Lingli1, JIANG Laihan1, ZHOU Lilei2
2023, 42(2):
75-85.
DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-0696.2023.02.11
As a very important ecosystem service, water supply service plays an important role in the regulation of water cycle balance and human production, life and ecology. Based on the InVEST model, the water supply in the Three Gorges Reservoir area was evaluated, and the water demand was calculated by using the water consumption indicators of population, industry and ecological agriculture. Then, the supply-demand ratio of water supply services was calculated to reveal the spatial differences in their supply-demand relationship. Finally, the factors influencing the mismatch between supply and demand of water supply services of Three Gorges Reservoir area were analyzed and its spatial autocorrelation and evolutionary trends were clarified. The results show that the total amount of water supply services in the Three Gorges Reservoir area shows decreasing firstly and then increasing slowly, with a total reduction of 1.13×1010 m3, decreasing by 19.68%. The depth of water production in the central region is greater than that in the eastern region. From 2000 to 2015, the total demand for water supply services in the Three Gorges Reservoir area has increased year by year, with a total increase of 11.37×108 m3, with a growth rate of 402.93%. The water demand decreases step by step from west to east. From 2000 to 2015, the ratio of supply to demand in the Three Gorges Reservoir area has decreased from 20.69% to 10.66%, and the supply-demand relationship has tightened year by year. There is always a significantly positive spatial correlation between the supply and demand of water supply services in the Three Gorges Reservoir area, and the agglomeration effect of supply and demand has been strengthened, which is influenced by factors such as land use, economic structure, water resources conditions and climatic precipitation. To maintain the balance of regional water resources, it is necessary to rationally allocate production, living and ecological water to reduce the impact of the mismatch between supply and demand.
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