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Multi-scenario Simulation of Rainfall Runoff in Wushan County Based on SCS Model
MU Fengyun1, LONG Qiuyue1, YU Qing2, YANG Meng1, HE Yong1
2020, 39(02):
118-125.
DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-0696.2020.02.18
The spatial distribution characteristics of runoff in Wushan County under different rainfall scenarios were simulated based on GIS, which provided a basis for disaster prevention, mitigation and emergency management of runoff flood in mountain area. Taking Wushan County of Chongqing as the research area, based on the SCS model, coupled with the data of land use and soil type, the rainfall runoff simulation was carried out and was divided into 5 grades, according to 8 scenarios of 24-hour rainfall, including 50, 75, 100, 125, 150, 175, 200 and 250 mm, which was started from the three scales such as the whole, township and highway. The results show that: (1) With the increase of rainfall intensity, the runoff gradually changes from grade I to grade II~V. The high-level runoff zones mainly distribute in zonal distribution in the middle and south of the study area, and distribute in cluster in the northwest of the study area. The total runoff has increased by 26.35 times, and the overall growth rate continues to decrease. (2) The average runoff of Guandu Town, Dachang Town and Wuxia Town in the study area is more than 100 million m3, which is vulnerable to floods, mudslides, landslides and other disasters. Therefore, key prevention and control should be carried out in flood season. (3) The total amount of road runoff in the study area has increased by 17.91 times, and the runoff of western roads and a few roads in the east is large, which is easy to cause road interruption due to flood disaster. (4) When there is a heavy rainstorm, the highway runoff of Dachang Town, Guandu town, Wuxia town and other towns in the study area is V-grade, which is the section with high rainfall runoff and flood disaster. The multi-scenario simulation of rainfall runoff based on SCS model can better represent the spatial distribution of rainfall runoff, and the calculation results can be used for disaster prevention, mitigation and emergency management.
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