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Reliability Analysis Methods in Tunnel Construction and Operation
ZHANG Wengang1,2,3,WANG Yan2,ZONG Zixu2,ZHOU Xiaowan2,LIN Wei2
2020, 39(03):
1-13.
DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-0696.2020.03.01
With the development and utilization of underground space resources, the reliability analysis of tunnel engineering is becoming more and more important. Firstly, the three main uncertainties in tunnel engineering were illustrated, such as the variance of rock and soil mass, the statistical uncertainty and the uncertainty caused by inaccurate model. Secondly, the commonly-used reliability analysis methods in tunnel engineering were introduced, such as direct integral method, moment method, point evaluation technique, Monte Carlo simulation, random field simulation, response surface method. And then, the current situations of reliability analysis during tunnel construction and operation were described respectively. In the existing research, for the tunnel under construction, there were more researches on the reliability of the tunnel face and the tunnel section, while the reliability analysis of the influence of tunnel excavation on adjacent buildings was relatively less. For the operating tunnels, the current reliability analysis of tunnels mostly focused on a single disease without comprehensively considering the impact of various diseases. Finally, the main four development trends of the reliability analysis of tunnel engineering were predicted, that is the uncertain characterization of parameters, the development of efficient reliability calculation method, the risk analysis of new and existing tunnel and adjacent structures, the establishment of the comprehensive risk assessment system for operating tunnels. It is expected to provide reference and suggestions for the reliability study of tunnel engineering in the future.
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