Abstract: According to the thought of traffic analysis and forecast program of highway construction,the role of the highway project in the tremsportatim network and forecast of theregional social and economic development,the traffic production and attraction,the traffic distribution and the traffic assignment are elucidated in the paper.As a result,a rational theory basis is provided for predicating the traffic volumar of highways

Key words: traffic demand analysis and forecast, tendency OD distribution, prognostic OD distribution, current highway network, planned highway network

摘要： 按照公路建设项目交通需求预测与分析的思路,对公路建设项目在路网中的作用、区域社会经济发展预测、 交通发生/吸引预测、交通分布预测、交通分配预测、与其它运输方式间的转移交通量预测等进行了解释和说明,从 而为合理推算公路交通量提供了理论基础.

关键词: 交通需求预测与分析, 趋势型OD分布, 诱增型OD分布, 现状公路网, 规划公路网